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AHR - Q4 2022 Report

Whilst the fourth quarter saw signs of inflation trending lower, central banks remained broadly hawkish, despite slowing the pace of interest rate hikes. Looking back at 2022, it may well be heralded as the ‘transition year’. Less than twelve months ago, the path taken by central banks was seen as unlikely. However, 2022 quickly brought about the end to a decade that was mired by low inflation and near-zero interest rates, exacerbated by the Russian war in Ukraine. As higher rates and ‘sticky’ inflation became a reality last year, we witnessed a repricing of assets whereby both equities and bonds registered double-digit declines.

At a glance
  • Inflation is showing signs of moderating
  • Central banks maintain their hawkish stance and continue to raise rates
  • Bond markets have stabilised following the UK political turmoil
  • Dollar weakens as the terminal rate is in sight
  • Equities and bonds deliver positive returns over the quarter.
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